Case study · Bank covenants

A week of covenant math, traded for a year of forward visibility.

Every quarter ended the same way: a week of manual calculation, then a wait to find out whether the bank agreed. Now the calculation is instant and the company can see a covenant problem twelve months before it arrives.

Client

PE-backed technology company

Installed

Covenant reporting and forecasting

Cadence

Recalculated monthly, not quarterly

Forward view

Full year, including covenants

Time to calculate a quarter’s covenants

1 week→1–2 hours

How far ahead covenants could be seen

0 days→12 months

The second row is the one that matters. A DSCR problem six months out is a decision; the same problem on the day it breaches is a negotiation.

The shift

What changed

Before

  • The last week of every quarter went to covenant math
  • Each quarter recalculated from scratch and checked against the last
  • Submissions came back from the bank to be redone
  • No view of covenants beyond the quarter just closed

After

  • Covenants calculated monthly by the same method every time
  • Consistent format the bank recognises
  • Forecast P&L, balance sheet and cash flow feed forward covenant positions
  • A breach risk visible months before it lands
The work

How it was installed

1

Tailor the calculations to this facility

Covenant reporting is a standard component of the finance system Bluebird installs. The calculations were fitted to this company’s specific covenant definitions.

2

Move from quarterly scramble to monthly routine

The system now recalculates every month using the same method and the same presentation, so nothing is reconstructed from memory at quarter end.

3

Push the forecast through to the covenants

The company’s sales forecast drives a full forecast P&L, balance sheet and cash flow — including bank debt — which produces forward covenant positions for the year ahead.

“Six months from now we could have a DSCR problem. What do we do about it today?”

The question the forecast makes it possible to ask
The number

A week, down to an hour or two

Backward-looking covenant calculation went from a full week of work to an hour or two.

Forward visibility went from nothing at all to a full year. That second shift is what turned covenant reporting from a compliance chore into something the management team and the sponsor use to make decisions.

Why this shows up first after a close

Acquisition debt arrives with covenants attached. The company that carried them before the close often has no process for forecasting them, only for reporting them late.

A sponsor who can see a covenant position twelve months out has time to solve it quietly. One who finds out at quarter end is already in a conversation with the lender.

Just closed on a company with immature finance?

Acquisition debt arrives with covenants attached, and most companies can only report them late.

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